Mock drafts are a waste of time and effort.
But contrary to what the late, great actor James Gammon quipped so eloquently in the iconic baseball cinema epic
Major League, "I'm for wasting sportswriters' time", sportswriters put out mock drafts to waste
your time...
...and if they piss you off while they're at it, so much the better - just so long as your mouse click registers as a page view, they have done exactly what they set out to do. Bitch and whine all you want, call them lazy plagiarists, half-wit morons and bombastic megalo-maniacs, because you clicked on the link and took the ride, so you deserve to offer your opinion.
Most learned long ago to not even bother reading the comments, dismissing them as an unfortunate bi-product of the hatred that their superior intellect elicits from their subjects - nothing well-meaning or constructive, just a bunch of opinionated yahoos who become angry because the player that the writer mocked to their team isn't who they think it should be.
Be that as it may, many fans draw their knowledge of the process by composing subconscious mocks based on what they see on the websites, so the writers recognize that they have an obligation to have a working knowledge of team deficiencies and needs, taking into account the trends and habits of the various general managers, coaches and the odd-owner that tries to get involved...
...which is bullshit, of course. At this point of the offseason, most are still trying to be cute - but now that free agency has trimmed down to second tier players, the teams will be entering the draft with their needs pretty much obvious.
In this first sequel of our mock draft, much stayed the same from the original as some teams were unable to address their greatest needs in free agency either because of limited cap space or because no one wants to play for them (insert your own Rex Ryan pun here)...
...and still others have changed because of abysmal showings at their school's "Pro Day", which is cause for concern when you can't impress scouts with everything set up just how you like it - regardless, some of the names on the original, such as Teddy Bridgewater, Calvin Pryor and Jace Amaro have disappeared due to either incompetence or to losing out on the numbers game while others have benefited from increased demand.
In the case of the Patriots, with Amaro dropping like a stone they may be able to make a move up into the middle of the second round to snag the tight end that many had projected to be their first round selection - but we are still seven weeks shy of Draft weekend, so everyone's mock draft is fluid.
1. Houston - Jadeveon Clowney, DE. South Carolina
It certainly sounds as if the Texans are planning to do everything they can to avoid picking a quarterback with the first overall selection in the draft, but Mark Sanchez? With no
sure-fire franchise signal caller in the draft, the Texans take the top
rated player in the draft to team with JJ Watts to give them the most
imposing pair of bookend pass rushers in the NFL. A Quarterback?
They'll take Jimmy Garappolo with the first pick in the second round.
Original projection: Clowney
2. St. Louis - Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
Unabashedly,
the Rams are dangling the #2 overall pick in front of quarterback
hungry teams willing to give up a boat load of picks as compensation -
but it seems that the excitement surrounding the top three quarterback
prospects has waned a bit with either poor combine showings, or not
working out at all - so the Rams' status of having the second pick is a
bit fluid.
On paper, this team has it all, everywhere
except along the offensive line. If they stay at #2, they take the top
rated tackle in the draft second overall, than address a need for a
field stretching wide receiver at #13.
Original projection: Robinson
3. Jacksonville - Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
The
Jaguars are a mess, but they're not as bad off as they were at this
point last season due to the drafting of Texas A&M offensive tackle
Luke Joeckel, who protected the blind side of manic quarterback Johnny
Manziel - and who has spoken on record that he believes that his former
teammate belongs in northern Florida. The Jaguars insist that they are not targeting a quarterback, but they lie.
"Johnny
Football" becomes "Johnny Jaguar" and gives the Jaguars their franchise
quarterback - not to mention putting butts in the seats at EverBank
Field - right now, that's what it's all about for the floundering Jags...
Original projection: Manziel
4. Cleveland - Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
New
Browns' bench boss Mike Pettine is apparently enamoured with brief 2013
starter Brian Hoyer and says that he's the top guy going into the
offseason process - and while things change in a hurry in the NFL, for
the moment it sounds like he won't take a QB with the #4 overall.
Cleveland
follows the lead of the Texans and grabs the most explosive playmaker
in the draft and waits until #26 to snag their franchise quarterback,
who will have the luxury of being able to use his huge arm to throw to
both Watkins and Josh Gordon, then solidifies their line with guard
David Yankey in the second round.
Original projection: Watkins
5. Oakland - Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
The rumor mill has the Raiders interested in swapping quarterbacks with the Texans and bringing Texans' fans' punching bag Matt Schwab to Oakland in exchange for Matt McGloin, who quarterbacked for new Texans' coach Bill O'Brien at Penn State.
Whatever the case, the primary concern with any signal caller is to protect him, and the Raiders tried to spend major money on their tackle positions in free agency, Bringing in Austin Howard from the Jets and Roger Saffold from the Rams, but Saffold somehow managed to fail his physical and reverted back to the Rams, so the Raiders look to the best tackle available in the draft.
Original projection: Teddy Bridgewater. Bridgewater
calls himself a perfectionist, saying that he would not throw at the
combine because he wanted to throw to his own guys back on the campus of
Louisville on his Pro Day in mid-March - citing chemistry and that "You
want to be with your guys to have that timing and that connection"...but when he did it was a monumental disaster. Bridgewater may fall out of the first round with that weak performance.
6. Atlanta - Kahlil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
Jadeveon Clowney all but begged the Falcons to trade up to the top pick of
the draft to select him - but that's going to take some draft capital that the Falcons
can't afford to part with, and the Falcons have already pretty much played that hand out in free agency by spending big bucks on their defensive line.
With both of the top offensive tackles off the board, the Falcons have some decisions to make as far as draft value - do they take the next best offensive lineman, or wait until the second round and take a pass rushing terror to continue their defensive overhaul? The bet here is that they won't be able to pass on Mack.
Original projection: Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
7. Tampa Bay - Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
The
biggest need in Tampa is for an edge rusher, and short of Jadeveon
Clowney slipping to the Buccaneers at seven - which wouldn't happen in
even the strangest of parallel dimensions - Barr is the guy, whether
the new regime has a stongside linebacker spot waiting for him or they
need him to bulk up to play with his hand in the dirt.
The Buccaneers with Lovie Smith appear to be in full rebuilding mode, as they have dismantled their offensive line and dumped major salaries across the board, and also have brought in Smith favorite Josh McCown to call signals under center so there is work to do everywhere and nothing should surprise Bucs' fans on draft weekend.
Original projection: Barr
8. Minnesota - Blake Bortles, QB, Central Florida
Bortles
has climbed most mock drafts all the way to the top pick of the draft,
but this quarterback class has it's share of mystery and certainly no
locks to be a success - and with a talent evaluator's charge being to
find the guy that give the offense the best chance of succeeding, the
Vikings would have to be considered a perfect destination for Bortles.
Classic
pocket quarterback that can balance the Vikings' offense and with the
play action talent to take advantage of the attention that defense pays
to their running game - and the big hands that you want your quarterback
to have when you go to places like Green Bay and Chicago in the middle
of the freaking winter.
Original projection: Bortles
9. Buffalo - Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
When
approached on the matter of trying to resign tight end Scott Chandler,
coach Doug Marone was less than enthusiastic in his response, telling
reporters that it was a matter for team management, not him - not
exactly a ringing endorsement, yet they re-signed him anyway.
Without a doubt, the
fastest and most versatile tight end in the draft is an immediate
upgrade over the plodding, yet effective Chandler - which is more an
indication of Ebron's skill than any thing to do with the serviceable
Chandler and immediately gives quarterback E.J. Manuel a solid safety
valve in the middle of the field and a huge, athletic target in the red
zone.
The Bills lost free safety Jarius Byrd in free agency, so it would not surprise to see them go for the best safety in the class to replace him, though it sounds as if the coaching staff is counting on strong safety Aaron Williams to make the switch.
Original projection: Ebron
10. Detroit - Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
The
Lions desperately need a big, fast wideout to take some heat off of
Megatron, and the speedy Evans can do just that. At a rangy 6' 5" and a
sturdy 231 pounds and the longest arms of any receiver in the draft
class, the only question the Lions needed answered was what manner of
straight line speed Evans brings - and he ran a respectable 4.53 at the
combine.
Don't be fooled by the Lions acquisition of Seattle's Golden Tate, who at 5' 10" projects into more of a slot role. The team needs Evans.
Original projection: Evans
11. Tennessee - Aaron Donald, DT/DE Pittsburgh
A
defensive end is what the defense really needs along with a violent
safety - and the speedy and large Donald could represent one very big piece to an evolving monstrous defense in Nashville. A
relentless pass rusher off the edge and on the interior, Donald is a once in a decade freak that the Titans will not pass on if he drops to 11.
Original projection: Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
12. New York Giants - Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
Lewan's
got a questionable reputation coming out of college, being linked (in
name only) to a couple of indiscretions on the campus of the University
of Michigan, but he did his best at the combine to quell the talk and
stop the rumor mill - did he say enough to keep the Giants enticed?
This is need number one for the Giants, protecting Eli Manning's blind side.
Original projection: Lewan
13. St. Louis - Marquis Lee, WR, USC
The
Rams used the second pick to protect Sam Bradford's blind side...giving
him time so he can throw to Marquis Lee down the field. See how that
works?
And while Lee didn't wow anyone with his combine
40 time, when coupled with his solid hands and the fact that he looked
fluid in and out of his cuts while dealing with a sore knee that limited
him in the latter parts of his 2013 season, his toughness may have even
raised his draft stock a bit.
Original projection: Lee
14. Chicago - Hasean Clinton-Dix, SS, Alabama
With
the passing attacks that the Bears have to face in the NFC North, not
to mention a couple of pretty good running backs, the Bears just can't
continue to rely on patchwork in the safety positions any longer. In
Clinton-Dix, Chicago gets a free safety that can cover deep or
underneath and has some man press abilities. He's not the most physical
of safeties, but his speed and lateral quickness could work wonders.
Original projection: Clinton-Dix
15. Pittsburgh - Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
Ike
Taylor fell apart in the second half of last season and carries a cap
hit equivalent to what the franchise tag offers, and the Steelers just
can't afford it. Releasing Taylor for cap relief is probable, and even
if they somehow manage to retain him, he's 33 years old with a lot of
wear on his tires.
As fluid a corner as you'll find in the draft, the Steelers will snatch up Dennard in a heartbeat if he's there for them at 15.
Original projection: Dennard
16. Dallas -Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
How disappointed would the Cowboys be that Aaron Donald had already been snatched up by this point?
After already letting their entire interior defensive line get away in free agency, the Cowboys' hands are tied - they absolutely must draft a defensive tackle that fits their scheme.
Original projection: Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
17. Baltimore - Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State
How
perfect was Anquan Boldin for the Baltimore Ravens' offense? Well,
good enough to take a stab at another big, reasonably fast possession
receiver - and the Ravens should be a top destination for Benjamin regardless of the Steve Smith signing.
Benjamin is a beastly cross between the
storied Ravens' possession receiver and a move-type tight end and will
undoubtedly draw plenty of attention away from Torey Smith on the other
side of the field - and at 6' 5" and 240 pounds and huge hands, he could
be a natural insurance policy should tight end Dennis Pitta either not
be retained or get injured.
Original projection: Benjamin
18. New York Jets - Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
Poor Rex Ryan. He can't get anyone to sign with the Jets outside of the over-rated money grabber Eric Decker from the Broncos. But at least Decker fills
that need, but the fact that Ryan had to cut his best remaining cornerback while banking on picking up a top DB in free agency blew up in his face.
Now he has little choice but to take the best man cover corner in the draft in Justin Gilbert.
Gilbert
is a high-wire act, taking incredulous risks and relying on his his
range and athleticism to get him by if his plans backfire - but a solid
man corner with a nose for the ball, and while he isn't overly
aggressive or physical at the point of contact, his risky style leads to
some spectacular plays and with a little NFL coaching, he could be the
outside shut-down corner of the immediate future in this defense.
Original projection: Odell Beckham, WR, LSU
19. Miami - Zack Martin, T/G, Notre Dame
It
requires zero brains to realize that dysfunctional Miami needs to
rebuild an offensive line torn apart by scandal last season, and Martin
could wind up being the binding agent that brings it all together.
While not as accomplished as a Matthews or a Robinson, he is far more
versatile and can play every position along the line - though his best
spot would probably be holding down Richie Incognito's old left guard
position.
Original projection: Martin
20. Arizona - Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
The Cardinals got a lot out of greybeard John Abraham last season, but they would be wise to lock up a young defensive end for Abraham to mentor. Ealy has some positional versatility and can rush the quarterback from the blind side from an end position or from a standing weakside linebacker position.
Original projection: Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech
21. Green Bay - CJ Mosely, ILB, Alabama
The Packers need many things, but for their defense to take a step up to the next level, the front seven must be stabalized. They took steps in free agnecy to do just that by signing Julius Peppers and re-signing OLB Mike Neal. Neal can play anywhere in front seven but his best posiotion with Green Bay is on the outside, which mean the need for an interior linebacker is key.
There's nothing
spectacular about his game and he is rated as high as a top 10 pick in
some mocks to as low at the top of the second round in others, so it's
more or less a crap shoot with Mosely - but less so with Green Bay, surrounded by top notch outside backers and a stout defensive line.
Original projection: Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
22. Philadelphia -Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
An
interesting prospect that would be among the highest rated tackles in
the draft were he more consistent. He's explosive in getting into the
backfield, and when rushing the passer he can shoot through gaps or
simply pull his man to the ground and run over him, but he is a project
when it comes to the running game, his length working against him as
shorter guards can get under his pads.
Not a bad pick
in this spot for an Eagles' team that values mobile and versatile linemen in their defensive scheme.
Original projection: Calvin Pryor, SS, Louisville
23. Kansas City - Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
Speed
is what Andy Reid needs. Actually, what Reid needs is some
consistency, and with the explosive Dexter McCluster probably on his way
out of town, it leaves just Dwayne Bowe and the wildly inconsistent
Donnie Avery for Pro Bowl quarterback Alex Smith to throw to on the
outside and down the field.
Enter the appropriately
named Cooks, who absolutely burned up the field at Lucas Oil Stadium
during the combine with an overall best 4.33 on the 40 yard dash,
coupled with him going for over 1,700 yards and catching 16 touchdowns
in an incredibly average Oregon State offense and winning The Bilitnikof
Award for the nation's best receiver...
Original projection: Cooks
24. Cincinnati -Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
The
Bengals needs are very simple: they need some help at offensive tackle,
maybe at guard depending on how things shake out in a seemingly fluid
situation - and also at corner, where Terrence Newman is getting a
little long in the tooth and Dre Kirkpatrick is not the successor.
In this instance, Fuller gives the team some versatility as he is a scrapper that has extensive collegiate experience at both inside and outside techniques as a corner and at safety as well. He could be the Swiss Army Knife on the back end of the Bengals' defense.
Original projection: Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
25. San Diego - Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
Verrett
is the intense, twitchy guy that would be the pest on a hockey team -
smallish, talkative, always buzzing around your head, just waiting for
the opportunity to drop the gloves...
The TCU product
is smallish in stature but big in confidence and attitude, a perfect
combination for a nickle slot back - his athleticism and natural
football instincts allow him to be exceptional in space and he is
willing in run support - a perfect addition to an over-achieving team.
Original projection: Verrett
26. Cleveland - Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
So
now Cleveland has Josh Gordon and Sammy Watkins and a truly great
offensive line - they also have Brian Hoyer at quarterback, who will
play the part of "incumbent" to the strong-armed rookie and let the
chips fall where they may.
Ideally, Carr would win a
quarterback competition (isn't that what you would expect from your
first round pick?) and have one of the most able backups in the NFL in
Hoyer, just in case.
Original projection: Carr
27. New Orleans - Dee Ford, DE, Auburn
Ideally,
the Saints could use a good cover corner, but the best ones are off the
board by this time. The Saints are pretty lean on pass rushers as
well, and Ford is the best athlete left on the board in an area of need.
Ford is undersized for defensive end, but is perfectly sized for either the nickle rusher in Rob Ryan's defense or at weak side. He is strong at setting the edge and for holding containment.
Original projection: Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
28. Carolina - Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State
The
Panthers have an emergency need at wide receiver and some help
along the offensive line, but all of the elite talent has already been
scooped up - so a question to ask themselves is if they reach for a
second round talent in an area of need, trade out of the round and pick
up draft capital for the second day or take the best athlete left on the
board?
At this point Robinson would be a decent pick
as a bigger receiver who has a knack for making himself available as a
safety valve type possession receiver who picks up the majority of his
yardage after the catch. He's not a burner by any means, but gets
constant separation and works the middle of the field like a tight end - and is also a willing downfield blocker in the mold of recently departed receiver Brandon LaFell.
Original projection: Robinson
29. New England - Ryan Shazier, LB/SS, Ohio State
The need here is for a nickle rusher as well as a physical intimidator underneath the coverage - and Shazier could be both.
Small
for a linebacker at 6' 2" and 235 pounds, Shazier was the fastest
linebacker in the nation the past two seasons, easily covering running
backs and tight ends in the pattern underneath with a penchant for
causing cases of alligator arms amongst them - he was a finalist for the
Lott IMPACT Trophy, and anyone who saw Ronnie Lott play for the 49ers
knows what "impact" means.
An accomplished blitzer who hits like a brick wall, coupled with
being one of the best sideline-to-sideline talents in college football,
Shazier projects as a big nickle who would also provide quality depth on
the weak side - a cover backer with his safety skill and range, as well
as being an explosive pass rusher, Shazier would complete the back
seven picture for the Patriots' defense.
Original projection: Shazier
30. San Francisco -O'Dell Beckham, WR, LSU
Beckham can flat out fly, and plays even faster than his 4.3 forty time suggests. his greatest advantage of playing in the 49ers' system is that his strengths lie in his solid route running, sticky fingers and creativity and illusiveness after the catch.
San Francisco is loaded with short-area play makers, and Beckham would add another dimension to an offense that gets bogged down when defenses can take away their short passing game.
Original projection: Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
31. Denver - Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State
Perhaps a reach in the first round, but Denver has a need for a corner opposite newly signed Aqib Talib with Rogers-Cromartie turning down many dollars from the Broncos and bolting for the Giants.
What may end up happening is that Denver could move up or down the board - up to take a stab at Mosely or Shazier to bolster their linebacking corps, or down to get better currency out of their draft picks.
Original projection: CJ Mosely, ILB, Alabama
32. Seattle - Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
Big,
rangy, incredible hands - a true all-around tight end who can line up
next to the tackle and block in the running game and can also stretch
the seam in the pattern - but questions about his maturity and a
fractured bone in his foot that may or may not heal before training camp
drives down Sefarian-Jenkins value as a first rounder, and the Seahawks
snag him.
It might be that the off-field issues and
the foot injury doesn't bother other teams that are desperate for an
athletic freak of a pass catcher, but chances are that if Seattle
doesn't take him here, he becomes a better value somewhere on the second
day.
Original projection: Seferian-Jenkins
For those that are interested, other players who would fit in well with New England later in the draft:
Corners: Keith McGill, Utah; Stanley Jean-Baptiste, Nebraska;
Lamarcus Joyner, Florida State
Tight ends: Jace Amaro, Texas Tech;Jacob Pedersen, Wisconsin; C.J. Fiedorowicz, Iowa;
Joe Don Duncan, Dixie State
Receivers:
Jared Abbrederis, Wisconsin; Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt; Martavis Bryant, Clemson
Centers: Weston Richburg, Colorado State; Bryan Stork, Florida State;
Tyler Larsen, Utah State
Guards:
Xavier Su'a-Filo, UCLA; Gabe Jackson, Mississippi State; Dakota Dozier, Furman
Defensive Tackle: Dominique Easley, Florida;
DaQuan Jones, Penn State; Daniel McCullers, Tennessee
Safety:
Jimmy Ward, Northern Illinois; Ed Reynolds, Stanford; Tre Boston, North Carolina
Quarterback: Zach Mettenberger, LSU; A. J. McCarron, Alabama;
Tom Savage, Pitt; Logan Thomas, Virginia Tech