Thursday, April 14, 2016

New England Patriots Schedule - Three Of Four At Home To Start Season


Preseason

Thursday, August 11, 2016 - 7:30pm
New Orleans Saints @ New England
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Thursday, August 18, 2016 - 8:00pm
Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Friday, August 6, 2016 - 7:30pm
New England Patriots @ Carolina Panthers
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Thursday, September 1, 2016 - 7:00pm
New England Patriots @ New York Giants
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

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If - IF - New England Patriots' quarterback Tom Brady ends up serving a four-game suspension stemming from the DeflateGate madness, he will end up missing two of the Patriots' five prime-time matchups, at Arizona to open the season and then again in Week 3 when New England hosts Houston in a Thursday night game.

More importantly, he would miss two divisional games, hosting both Miami and Buffalo in weeks 2 and 4 respectively.  Whether or not that is likely to happen is not for us to decide, but it is interesting that three of the four games are at home against what would likely still be inferior opponents - and not a New York Jet logo in sight.

Once Brady were to return, hypothetically, of course, he would face three straight AFC North division opponents, sandwiching a home contest with the Bengals around road trips to Cleveland and Pittsburgh - then they catch another break with the bye week coming smack in the middle of the schedule...

...but get no favors after that as they host the Seattle Seahawks coming out of the break, then must travel to the west coast to meet the 49ers the following week.

A trip to meet the Jets follows before a showdown with the Rams in Foxborough, then a curious Monday night matchup looms against the Baltimore Ravens - perhaps the schedulers felt that either Baltimore would put up a good fight or the Patriots would be debilitated in some manner, as this game has all the makings of a smelly dog.

Which is fortunate, since the following Sunday night the Patriots travel to Denver to play the champs before finishing by hosting the Jets on Christmas Eve and then traveling to Miami to play a New Years Day bowl game.

On a side note, the Patriots finish with the same two divisional games that they played last season as they faded down the stretch...


Regular Season
.
Sunday, September 11, 2016 - 8:30pm
Sunday Night Football (NBC)
New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals
University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona

Sunday, September 18, 2016 - 1:00pm
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Thursday, September 22, 2016 - 8:25pm
Thursday Night Football (CBS & NFLNetwork)
Houston Texans @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Sunday, October 2, 2016 - 1:00pm
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Sunday, October 9, 2016 - 1:00pm
New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns
First Energy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio

Sunday, October 16, 2016 - 1:00pm
Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Sunday, October 23, 2016 - 4:25pm
New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Sunday, October 30, 2016 - 1:00pm
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, New York

BYE Week

Sunday, November 13, 2016 - 8:30pm
Sunday Night Football (NBC)
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Sunday, November 20, 2016 - 4:25pm
New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

Sunday, November 27, 2016 - 8:30pm
Sunday Night Football (NBC)
New England Patriots @ New York Jets
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Sunday, December 4, 2016 - 1:00pm
Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Monday, December 12, 2016 - 8:30pm
Monday Night Football (ESPN)
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Sunday, December 18, 2016 - 4:25pm
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado

Saturday, December 24, 2016 - 1:00pm
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Sunday, January 1, 2017 - 1:00pm
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Sun Life Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

















Blount Off Belichick's Speed Dial, Re-signs With Patriots

Submitted for your approval:  You are sitting in a favorite New England diner in the company of a friend or two, sipping coffee and making small talk between you and avoiding topics of any consequence until your breakfast arrives, for fear of a bout of hypoglycemia tinging your words with venom.

The waitress is passive-aggressive, but you are used to that from living in the six weird little states that comprise the region, and she assures your quizzical look that your food should be along shortly, refills your coffee cup with a gracefulness that comes with many years on her feet, then saunters along to lie to the people at the next table.

Five minutes later, you are staring at a tall stack of pancakes adorned on top with a glob of whipped butter that is melting down into the cakes, forming a divot that will soon consume the entire melting glob like a Florida sink hole unless you spread it evenly in quick order - which you do, and then set your sites on the fresh, locally produced maple syrup and start to pour.

The substance is thick, far more dense than you would find in store-bought syrup, and it spreads like a thick tidal wave , pushing the still unmelted butter to the edges of the stack, then slowly cascades over and dribbles down the side...

The site is vaguely familiar to you, but not in a culinary sense.  You've seen this slow-flow before, and after half of the tall stack resides in your stomach and the waves of hot flashes and incoherent rambling subside as your body's sugar levels reach normal, the conversation at the table becomes more lucid and less vulgar...

...and inevitably turns to football - then it hits you.  You remember where you've seen that slowly flowing syrup before, that thick tidal wave that meticulously makes it's way to the edges, gravity then taking full effect as the New England delicacy quickly goes south to the waiting plate.

The New England Patriots re-signed running back LeGarrette Blount and his syrup on pancakes running style on Tuesday, causing a slow burn on social media sites as those in the know celebrated his return while other lamented his signing as a return to 2015, when the Patriots had the third-worst rushing attack in the National Football League,

That's thirtieth out of thirty-two teams for those keeping score at home, escaping the bottom only because the lowly Chargers and the equally abysmal Lions were usually so far behind in their weekly contests that they had no choice but to turn to the passing game to try to catch up.

Funny how that works, actually.  Usually with the Patriots, they have the lead late in ball games and are able to turn to their four-minute offense for three yards and a cloud of dust, moving the sticks and eating the clock - hardly ever to my satisfaction, as anyone who follows this blog will vouch for the fact that I don't think offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels uses the running game to it's full potential...

...but that's beside the point, and hardly fair when considering the skeleton crew that he had to work with at every level except quarterback, the depth along the line, out in the pattern and in the backfield not able to pull things together in time to avoid a dismal 2-4 finish to the regular season and an early exit from the post-season.

Up until December, the Patriots actually did have a rushing attack - led by Blount, whose 703 yards on 165 carries made him an effective between-the-tackles runner, as manifested by the resultant 4.3 yards per carry.  In fact, Blount had exactly half of the Patriots rushing yards for the season, with Brandon Bolden and the electric Dion Lewis accounting for most of the rest.

But Bolden is a really a special teams' guy who was good for a few carries per game, and Lewis snapped his ACL midway through the season, leaving the late season carries to a clearly washed up veteran mercenary named Steven Jackson - and in the end, offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels just abandoned the running game entirely for lack of a better option.

That was evidenced by how little the Patriots offense ran the ball in the second half of games down the stretch after Blount went down with a bum hip in week 14, and after the curious experimentation with Joey Iosefa as the lead back, especially in the last three games that ended with the Patriots' narrow - and avoidable - loss to the Broncos in the AFC Championship Game.

In the season-ending loss to Miami, Patriots' backs toted the rock just seven times in the second half, and four times each in the playoff games against the Chiefs and Broncos.  Those are totals that defy logic and lend credence to the argument that Blount's injury crippled an offense that was already working through so many injuries that they literally could not afford just one more...

...because without a running game, the opposition could feel comfortable in coming after quarterback Tom Brady, leaving their corners one-on-one with Brady's depth receivers and overwhelming an offensive line that was missing key components on the edges and had rookies and a second year player manning the inside.

The results were predictable.

Blount comes back aboard being somewhat enigmatic in the eyes of Patriots' constituency, as some see him as an all or nothing entity - meaning he either rips off big gainers or gets bogged down at the line of scrimmage, while others take the stance that agrees with his high ranking on several sites as a better-than-average early down back who can get you into favorable yardage positions on third down.

And while that's not necessarily a ringing endorsement for the 7th year pro out of Oregon, it's not exactly a eulogy either.  Blount has plenty left in his 30 year old legs, but not so much that the team won't select a running back in the draft, one with some power and with some explosiveness, because truth be told, Blount has all of the explosiveness of maple syrup.

He is, however, a good complementary back when passing backs Dion Lewis and James White are mixed into the equation. White wasn't productive between the tackles, but was pure smooth hell in the pattern and put forth a yeoman's effort in picking up the blitz, while Lewis is everything a running back should be, and then some.

Unfortunately, Lewis is also fragile and thus the Patriots may look to limit his touches, splitting time with White who filled in admirably when Lewis went down in Week 7, and who gained a measure of respect and reliability from Brady and the coaching staff in his opportunities down the stretch.

Needless to say, health is a concern of paramount importance - not just in the backfield, but also along the offensive line and with the pass catchers, and the myriad of debilitating injuries suffered on all three levels of the offense last season left Brady as a sitting duck who took a monumental beating and the Patriots' offense a shell of it's normal capacity.

The stupid part - the really stupid part - is that New England still came within two points of reaching their seventh Super Bowl in 15 years under Belichick, and with better decision making among the play callers on the sidelines, they probably would have beaten the Broncos and had the opportunity to defend their title against the Panthers.

Belichick isn't taking any chances of that happening this season, because it's Super Bowl or bust for his Patriots,as it is every season.  He will draft a back, he will make sure that the depth along the line is adequate and he has already turned the pass catching corps into a potential juggernaut - so there's not that much left to be done from a team-building standpoint...

...and re-signing Blount helps that process even more.


Wednesday, April 13, 2016

With Jones, Easley Out Of Picture, Patriots Philosophy Coming Into Focus

The New England Patriots on Wednesday handed three-tech defensive tackle Dominique Easley his walking papers, putting an end to two seasons of anxiety over whether the Patriots' top pick in 2014 would ever be the player he was before injuries to both knees ended his college career.

It was a calculated gamble on the part of Patriots' defacto General Manager Bill Belichick, selecting the massively talented yet incredibly fragile pass rushing tackle out of Florida, a decision that had it's share of detractors, what with several big names in positions of need for New England still on the board - and now Belichick is facing even more questions for letting Easley go, costing the Patriots $3.6 million against their already tight cap.
Sheard checks on the injured Easley

Whatever compelled Belichick to cut Easley loose is a matter of great conjecture - a blatant sense of entitlement and rampant immaturity seem to be universal indictments - though irrelevant to the question as to what do the Patriots do now with their tackle depth, but the reasoning behind the pink slip must have been very compelling indeed to take such a cap hit and dead money hit when training camp is still three months away.

The timing isn't all that curious, actually, as it comes a couple of weeks before the draft, and it comes on the heels of the high-profile signing of nose tackle Terrence Knighton, and explains the signings of five-tech linemen in ex-Redskin Frank Kearse and former-Giant Markus Kuhn.

The Easley release, when combined with the team moving Chandler Jones to Arizona in exchange for a potential starting offensive lineman and a second-round pick, may appear on the surface to leave the line a bit void of elite pass rushers, but the players that remain are effective at generating pressure and have some statistics to back them up.

With the trade Jones a few weeks back, New England turns over their blind side pass rushing duties to a group of smaller defensive ends who could also function as outside linebackers, defending and setting the edge in the running game an obvious priority, as well it should be as the Patriots surrendered over five yards per carry to the weakside in 2015.

All are like-sized, with veterans Jabaal Sheard (6' 3" and 260 pounds) and Chris Long (6' 3", 268) and youngsters Geneo Grissom (6' 4", 265) and Trey Flowers (6' 2", 265) joining 6' 2", 260 pound strong side end Rob Ninkovich as run-stuffing, edge-setting ends with the ability to pressure the quarterback when called upon to do so...

...just a collection of linebacker-sized lunch pail types who happened to be very successful in a Swiss Army Knife sort of way, which actually works well in tandem with the Big Nickle approach, and gives the team the ability to switch between three and four man fronts as needed.

Jones may have led the team in sacks, but he lacked the ability to set the solid edge in the running game, which Ninkovich and Sheard specialize in, while racking up 6.5 and 8 sacks, respectively.  The bulk of the remaining sacks came from the second level as linebackers Jamie Collins (6' 3", 250, 5.5 sacks) and Dont'a Hightower (6' 3", 265, 3.5 sacks) blitzed effectively when the opportunity would arise.

The remaining interior linemen are a collection of run-stuffing nose tackles and three-to-five-techs, suggesting that changes along the defensive line are imminent in Foxborough.  Not the entire defensive philosophy, mind you, as the Big Nickle will remain the team's bread and butter and Belichick's vast collection of safeties will continue to be intregal pieces to the overall puzzle...

...but the remaining talent indicates that there could be more opportunity to switch between even and odd man fronts - not necessarily a true 3-4 or 4-3, but more of a 3-3-5 or a 4-2-5 - which was their primary alignment last season - where Pat Chung reduces down into the box to take on backs or tight ends, and making linebacker depth suddenly not as important than it was when we all got out of bed this morning, particularly when combined with the recent Shea McClellin (6' 3", 260) signing.

Thankfully, the Patriots have at least five linebacker-sized defensive ends that together with the team philosophy will make the Big Nickle even more difficult for the opposing offenses to deal with, particularly if Knighton works out well, as a three-man tandem of him at the nose with athletic tackle Malcom Brown and long five-tech Alan Branch could occupy linemen on the other side, allowing for these hybrids to set the edge and hunt down the ball carrier.

Or they could line up in a four-man front and rotate their abundance of depth in and out depending on the circumstance, allowing Ninkovich and Sheard to get their fingers in the dirt, rotating in Long, Grissom and Flowers as need be...

That pondered, could the Patriots target a long defensive end in the draft, or do they wait and see if someone like journeyman Rufus Johnson shows well in camp?  How about an athletic three or five-tech? They sure could, and maybe they will - after all, Belichick has shocked the football world more than once this offseason, so drafting defensive line help now doesn't seem as far fetched as it did when the team-building period started.

Sunday, April 10, 2016

Big Nickle Offers Patriots Versatility in Team Building Process

Shea McClellin is an enigma.

At least to Patriots fans he is.  But to the fans of his former team, he's a first-round bust with a capital "B".

The Chicago Bears are in the midst of their annual task of dumping talented, miscast players so that they can bring up the rear of the NFC North once again, and Patriots' head ball coach Bill Belichick has felt compelled to oblige them twice this offseason, first by trading a fourth-round draft pick to Chicago for tight end Martellus Bennett, then following it up on the same day by signing free agent linebacker McClellin.

The Bears refused to pick up the Boise State alum's fifth-year option, and McClellin took visits with the Jets and Seahawks before landing in Foxborough with a contract that pretty much guarantees he will be on the 53 man roster come September - but why would Belichick sign a guy being called a "typical Bears' draft bust"?

Well, we all know that the Dark Master is a different cat from most in his position of authority in that he doesn't just select a player and then try to jam him into a scheme like a square peg in a round hole as most other coaches do, instead he takes that round hole and bores it out so that the square peg fits.

It's been the not-so-secret of his success as a general manager - not to mention the success of the product on the field - his ability to see a player for what he is and adapt his scheme to take advantage of his strengths and minimize or even mask his deficiencies. It has been this ability that has gotten the most out of castoffs like Rob Ninkovich and Alan Branch, as well as the rabbits that he pulls out in the secondary each season.

So regardless of the barbs aimed at McClellin from Bears' fans, there still may be some hope for him - especially since the Patriots run a scheme where their linebackers are left free to flow to the ball.

This is due, of course, to the Big Nickle alignment that was a staple of the Patriots' defense last season, an alignment that employed an extra safety in nickle situations who essentially became a weakside linebacker, allowing for Belichick to run with just two linebackers who worked in tandem as a disruptive force.

Of course, that wouldn't have been possible without the defensive line plugging gaps and setting the edges, or without the superb group of safeties that Belichick has assembled - nor without the freakish athleticism of linebackers Dont'a Hightower and Jamie Collins.

Linebacker has been both a strength and a weakness for Belichick - a strength because his starters have always been top shelf, but also a weakness because the depth behind them have always been a crap shoot that most times, leaving Belichick scrambling to make mid-season deals to shore up the second level - and the past couple of seasons it's been to replace weakside linebacker Jerod Mayo, who has ended the past three years on the IR.

The sudden, but not-so-unexpected retirement of linebacker Jerod Mayo made the probability of the Patriots going after a linebacker in the offseason a foregone conclusion - but acute injuries to both Hightower and Collins last season outlines the need for quality depth. At the start of the league year, the questions was, would it be through the draft or in free agency?

Is it too much to ask for both?

McClellin is a versatile player in that he has the bulk (6' 3", 260 pounds) to play both inside on the second level as well as putting his hand in the dirt as a situational strong side defensive end, and also employs the requisite speed and proper pursuit angles to be a sideline-to-sideline edge-setter to provide a stop-gap in the event Hightower or Collins are forced to miss time with injury or illness...

...which happened in five games during the second half of 2015, and the Patriots' run defense suffered.  How much?  Well in those five games, the opposition averaged 113 yards per contest, while in the games where they were both present, that number dropped to 90.  Try as they might, New England's depth players just couldn't recreate what those two players bring to the defense.

Now, the Patriots have that insurance in the four-year veteran linebacker McClellin, who will also man the middle if the Patriots ever find the occasion to do something weird, like actually lining up in a 4-3...

Selected in the first round of the 2012 NFL Draft, then-Bears' General Manager Phil Emery stated that McClellin was drafted to play with his hand in the dirt as a defensive end, even though his natural position, and the position he played in college, was middle linebacker. Two disappointing seasons later, new Bears' coach Marc Trestman switched McClellin to strong side linebacker...

...then last season coach John Fox moved him inside to man the middle, and he responded with his best season as a pro - but the fans could never get over Emery "wasting" a first round pick on McClellin, and Fox, despite being quoted as saying that McClellin was the "quarterback" of his defense, left him unprotected by declining his fifth-year option, hoping to bring him back under a far more reasonable number.

But Belichick saw an opportunity to make this square peg fit without forcing him into a position to fail, and scooped him up as important depth and a capable part-time starter.

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Last season, the Patriots ran a 4-2-5 "Big Nickle" as their primary alignment, meaning that they deployed four defensive linemen, two linebackers, two cornerbacks and three safeties. The result was success beyond the wildest dreams of Big Nickle enthusiasts, as New England finished the season surrendering just 18 points per game and held the team together through the second half of the season, when the offense seemed to have lost their way.

The Big Nickle is tough to attack for two reasons: first, the extra safety drops into the box and will act as a weak side linebacker, keying on the opponent's running back, taking him in the pattern or plugging a gap in run support. Secondly, the team plays with a single high safety in this alignment, meaning that they could employ both a run-support strong safety and a cover corner-type free safety at the same time.

As a result, the offense will have a difficult time ascertaining who has whom in pass coverage as well as who will be bringing pressure and where that pressure is coming from.

The Patriots are perhaps the only team in the league with the personnel to run such an alignment on a full time basis, and it is the primary reason why New England kept seven safeties on their roster last season in contrast to just four cornerbacks and five linebackers for the majority of the year.

And there are even solutions to the much-maligned linebacker depth already on the roster, as weaksider Jon Bostic - McClellin's former teammate at Chicago - is still under contract as well as run stuffing former Dolphin Jonathan Freeny - but the one player on currently on the roster who could make the biggest impact as a linebacker in the Big Nickle isn't a linebacker at all.

In college at Auburn, Brandon King played what is known as the "Star" linebacker position which, in the pro lexicon means a hybrid strong safety / linebacker - or, simply put, the Big Nickle - despite tipping the scales at a light 215 pounds, and even found himself playing defensive end in the Tigers' 3-2-6 dime alignment due to his exceptional speed and pass rushing skill.

King was brought aboard the Patriots' bandwagon as a priority free agent after the 2015 draft, and was impressive enough in his special teams play to be signed to the practice squad after being one of the final cuts as the Patriots trimmed their roster to 53 on final cut down day - elevated from the practice squad just three games into the season, King proved to be a menace to the oppositions' punt and kick return teams, finishing second to All Pro special teamer Matthew Slater in tackles.

It isn't often that one comes across a kid who is 6' 2", 225 pounds (he has added 10 points of bulk since joining the team) and can run in the 4.4 range, and who finishes play with jarring, finite hits, but if last season is any indication, the team values him more for his special teams stardom than as being the "Star" linebacker.

King is just one of the aforementioned seven safeties kept by New England last season, a group led by team captain and free safety Devin McCourty, veteran strong safety Patrick Chung and hybrid centerfielder Duron Harmon. McCourty, a former corner with blazing speed, helped in coverages underneath (usually on tight ends) while Chung proved to be a violent striker in run support and an able tag-a-long on backs curling into the pattern...

...with Harmon patrolling the deep end like a soccer goalie and with second year kid Jordan Richards backing up Chung.  Joining King as special teamers-only is Nate Ebner, who was re-signed by Belichick this offseason and is currently on loan to the United States Olympic Rugby team slated to compete in Rio De Janerio this summer before resuming his football career.

It was be a huge shock if Belichick decided to draft another safety, especially early in the process, given the incredible depth he has, but what would not be a shocker is if he saw a cornerback fall to him in the second or third round and he pounced, given the deep draft class at the position.

Currently, Pro Bowl corner Malcolm Butler headlines the corner, with Logan Ryan the only other veteran corner of note on the roster, though second year players Justin Coleman and Daryl Roberts hold significant promise as young blankets. The team has said that they are interested in bringing back nine-year veteran Tarell Brown, who is currently scheduled for free agency.

Brown was a starting corner for the San Francisco 49ers during their recent peak, when they lost to the Giants in the 2011 NFC Championship and to the Baltimore Ravens in Super Bowl 47 the following year before hitting the skids with knee problems, the same knee problems which forced him to the Patriots' IR last season.

If Brown's knee has now sufficiently healed, he could bring a wealth of experience opposite Butler and relegate Ryan to the slot, where he has shown to be a worthy performer, and also give Coleman and Roberts time to grow.  Belichick also made another under-the-radar move recently, bringing in big corner E.J. Biggers, formerly of Philadelphia.

Another benefit of the Big Nickle, as mentioned earlier, is that the quarterback won't have an easy time figuring out where the pass rush is coming from or where to deploy his backfield help, but it goes without saying that despite New England dumping Chandler Jones and his annual late-season disappearing act, they have improved their ability to get to the quarterback...

...which sounds like crazy talk considering Jones just made the Pro Bowl, but when you can take Jones exorbitant salary and split it up to sign edge rusher Chris Long, late of the Rams, meaty nose tackle Terrence Knighton, and massive three-techs Frank Kearse and Markus Kuhn - not to mention getting a 2016 second round pick and a former first-round selection in guard Jonathan Cooper from Arizona in a swap for Jones - the pattern becomes clear.

This is not to discount Jones' contribution, but the six-to-one ratio that Belichick built from dealing Jones made the team better on the edges - with Jabaal Sheard taking over opposite the ageless Rob Ninkovich at ends with Long and a plethora of second year talent chomping at the bit for playing time - and better on the interior with Knighton beefing up the rotation at nose tackle while Kearse and Kuhn offer competition to Alan Branch and Dominique Easley at the under-tackle.

Combine that with the already more-than-impressive back seven in the Big Nickle, and the Patriots have given offensive coordinators many reasons to be up nights.

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

Patriots' Offense - From Finesse To Physical

Bill Belichick is a child of the 70's.

Many intellectuals born in the 1950's found themselves against the establishment created by the war mongers during their formative high school and college years smack in the middle of the 1970's. That didn't necessarily include Belichick, whose mind was already settled on what he wanted to do with his life and had no time to protest said establishment.

He saved that for this moment in time.

The Dark Master has always been a loose cannon. Most innovative minds tend to work in a sidewinding motion, and frequently drift at angles away from center at a distance where only megalomaniacs, kangaroos and adrenalin junkies feel comfortable.

And, perhaps twisted football coaches as well, but the body of evidence to satiate inclusion includes a list of men so exclusive that not even the greatest of the great to ever roam the sidelines did so with the absolute detest that Belichick holds in his heart for the people who run professional football - so that list includes just one, which hardly constitutes a list at all.

Belichick's anger towards the folks that run the National Football League is an emotion shared by millions, but his is singular in that he is in the position to do something about it, and every move that he has made thus far in his offseason team building process smacks of giving the league a metaphoric middle finger.

And by "The League", it is meant that no one is immune - either you are with the Patriots, or you are going to incur the wrath of Belichick, scorned.  For some, that means seeing their best-laid game plans laid waste. For others, it means taking a colossal stomping on the field of battle, but for those who wear the suits and ties and work at the NFL's posh Manhattan digs, it means getting the finger from Belichick at every turn.

It's not like he was part of the league's big, happy family prior to commissioner Roger Goodell and his minions setting him and his team up for an epic fall over air pressure in footballs, as he consistently refuses to join the NFL coaches association, his injury reports to the league offices fall just shy of novel length and his sideline attire smacks of thug life...

...so it doesn't take much to trigger his Machiavellian personality when it comes to the league hierarchy - and one can just imagine what's going through his mind as he contemplates how to handle his revenge upon Goodell, et al., for taking away his first round draft pick and suspending his franchise quarterback for what turned out to be a sting operation gone awry.

Actually, it doesn't take much of an imagination at all to figure out what he's doing, as he's loading up with some serious beef, threatening to build his team like the antiquated 1970's squads whose hallmark was being physical and bullying the other team into submission.

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The 1978 New England Patriots still hold the NFL single-season record for most rushing yards in a season by calling 671 rushing plays.

Wrap your brains around that for a second, 671 rushing plays. But if you want to get technical, quarterback Steve Grogan turned and handed the ball to one of his four rugged backs only 590 times, while he kept the ball 81 times for an astounding 6.7 yards per carry. In fact, Grogan was one of four Patriots at ran for at least 500 yards that season...

...with the others, Sam Cunningham (768 yards, 3.9ypc), Andy Johnson (675, 4.6) and Horace Ivory (693, 4.9) all running behind one of the greatest run blocking offensive lines in NFL history, featuring Leon Gray and John Hannah at left tackle and guard, respectively, Sam Adams at right guard, Shelby Jordan and right tackle and Dr. Bill Lenkatis at the pivot.

Players were smaller back in the day - for example, Hog Hannah was considered a huge specimen at 6'2" and 265 pounds, but would be considered too small for the position today. Running backs were proportionately smaller as well, with Cunningham, a fullback, tipping the scales at 226 pounds and everyone else at least 20 pounds lighter.

There were no "passing backs" per se, because all of the running backs were adept at catching the football. In fact, nearly half of all of the completions in the passing game went to the running backs, and the leading actual pass catcher on the Patriots that season was tight end Russ Francis, with a whopping 39 receptions.

For comparison's sake, consider that on the 2015 edition of the Patriots, tight end Rob Gronkowski nearly doubled Francis' production, and that the Patriots' offense as a whole more than doubled the number of completed passes of that 11-5, 1978 team.

That said, the 2016 edition of the Patriots isn't going to set any rushing records. They may, however, be forever remembered as the team whose offense shattered every record there is for efficiency.

You know, things like first downs made, time of possession, third down efficiency, fourth down efficiency, red zone efficiency and so forth, because if you thought the Patriots' offense was a methodical, boring, chain-moving entity before, his moves in free agency pretty much guarantee that they will become the preeminent methodical, boring, chain-moving offense.

At least, it will boring to the fans of their opponents, but that is not our concern.

For the past decade, the Patriots have de-evolved into a finesse team, particularly on offense, where the reliance was on under-sized interior linemen who could move laterally in unison for a zone blocking scheme that featured smallish backs who could slash against the grain through cutback lanes. The drawbacks to the scheme, however, were that the interior linemen would get manhandled at the point of attack and most of the time were not able to fight through to the second level...

...while in pass protection they would be pushed back by the initial punch of the defensive pass rush, causing the pocket to collapse around Brady and, most importantly. did not give him room to step into his throws. The pass rush didn't even have to get to Brady to be effective, which gave defensive coordinators carte blanche to run exotic coverage packages.

Even so, the Patriots would always be able to fly through the regular season with 12, 13 or 14 wins and secure a first round bye - most of the time the top seed in the conference as well - but once they faced superior defenses in the post season, the results were mixed and several opportunities for titles were missed.

So Belichick is going about the dark business this offseason to ensure that his team will not get pushed around in the trenches ever again.

Belichick made two acquisitions in particular on offense that feed this notion - both of them via trades - while also taking the opportunity to beef up his defensive interior, literally.

Four days after the free agency period began, Belichick dumped a huge salary by shipping defensive end Chandler Jones to Arizona in exchange for a second round draft pick and guard Jonathan Cooper, a former first-round pick - then two days later trading a fourth-round pick to Chicago in exchange for Pro Bowl tight end Martellus Bennett and a sixth-round pick.

It could be argued a win for both side in each endeavor, as Arizona gets much-needed pass rush help and unload a former-seventh overall draft pick in Cooper, who struggled with injuries and was considered a bust by most experts, while Chicago gets a mid-round pick for a disgruntled pass catcher who didn't like some of his red zone touches going to someone else...

...but the real winners are the Patriots, who add an experienced right guard to a mix that includes Tre Jackson and Josh Kline, and who team up Bennett with the preeminent tight end in all of football in Rob Gronkowski to form a tight end tandem the likes of which the National Football League has never seen.

Throw in massively underused H-back Clay Harbor, whom Belichick signed last week, and 305 pound hybrid tackle/tight end Michael Williams, and the Patriots may well have the largest offensive front in the National Football League - because in addition to the 6' 6", 265 pound Gronkowski bookended by the 6' 7", 270 pound Bennett, New England boasts identically-sized tackles in 6' 8",325 pound Nate Solder and Sebastian Vollmer,,,

...replacing girth with sheer power on the interior with 6' 1", 310 pound left guard Shaq Mason and 6' 4". 325 pound Tre Jackson and Cooper slugging it out for top dog at right guard, flanking 6' 4", 325 pound Bryan Stork at the pivot.

The only thing missing is a powerful, bell-cow running back, which New England will likely be addressing on Day 2 of the NFL draft coming up in three weeks and, barring that, they could always fall back on the back that is perfectly suited to run behind a wall-blocking entity that Belichick has built, in the person of veteran LeGarrette Blount.

Blount has had zero interest from other teams on the free agent market - most likely stemming from his less-than-amicable release from the Pittsburgh Steelers midway through the 2014 season, not to mention a hip injury that landed him on the injured reserved list late last season, an event that effectively ruined the Patriots' offense for the post-season because they had no running game to balance the unit.

So with Blount on Belichick's speed dial, the Patriots have a ready-made bell-cow at 6' 0" and 250 pounds just in case whomever they draft needs some time to acclimate, or just because Belichick remembers that the Oregon bad boy averaged 4.3 yards per carry last season despite the injuries along the line and offensive coordiantor Josh McDaniels' penchant for forgetting that he has a running game.

In fact, it may come as a surprise to some that for his career, Blount has averaged a stout 4.6 yards per carry and found paydirt 31 times - and like any power back worth his salt, Blount gets better when the games count the most, averaging 4.9 yards per carry in the post season, not a bad Plan B, as it were.

Regardless of who is taking the handoffs from Brady, the Patriots are stacked with a massive, wall-blocking offensive line to go along with undoubtedly the deadliest passing attack in the league, and the running game will be much more effective because of the change in philosophy from finesse to physical.

Belichick has been quoted on numerous occasions as stating that those mid-to-late 1970's teams were the best New England has ever served up - physical and violent, those teams bullied their opponants in an era when being physical and violent was commonplace and came within one Ben Dreith flag and Billy Sullivan's interference from having two more Lombardi's in the trophy case.

But those teams have served as a blueprint for what a Patriots' team should be about, and now Belichick is loading up with physical, violent and super-sized players for his offensive juggernaut. As mentioned before, they probably won't set any rushing records, but they are about to unleash the most proficient and deadly efficient offense in the history of the NFL...


Friday, April 1, 2016

Post-Belichick Free Agent Feeding Frenzy Mock Draft Has Different Feel

Thanks, Bill.  Just thanks.

I had a perfectly good initial mock draft going a couple of weeks back, secure in the knowledge that Patriots defacto General Manager Bill Belichick had been his typically dormant self in the wee hours of free agency, waiting for the high-priced talent to weed out the suckers playing with house money to set the ceiling on veteran mercs, and the more reasonable suckers with limited incomes to set the floor before adjusting his template and joining the fracas.

But a funny thing happened. Belichick didn't just join the fracas, he jumped in and punked every other general manager in the pit, and in the process changed the offensive dynamic of the team by trading for a potential starting interior lineman, a monstrously athletic and complete tight end, then added a possession receiver and a complementary back in free agency...

...while bolstering the defense by signing a starting interior linebacker and signing both a celebrated strong-side pass rusher and a mammoth defensive tackle named after meat - and while that may not sound like a hell of a big booty, when names are put to the positions, they solve the few questions that the Patriots had coming into their team-building process.

And destroyed my mock draft.  Right, never lose sight of the primary focus.
Howard was a man among boys rushing for the Hoosiers

So, remember the past three seasons when Belichick shocked everyone by signing players that were known only to their mothers and a few college students? Patriots' fans should not be surprised to see Belichick go with the old "Best athelete available" ploy, even though that term has a different meaning in Foxborough.

In Foxborough, a free agent fits in the system if he has a skill set that Belichick can game plan with, rather than display a skill set that the team game plans around. There are no egos, just a brimming confidence that comes with being put in a position to succeed - and then actually succeeding.

Rookies, on the other hand, fit in the system if they take to coaching, have brains and flash versatile athleticism, because Belichick needs to know what he has in a player before he knows how to game plan with him - which would also explain why the Dark Master seems to prefer bringing veterans in if he needs immediate production...

...like he does now.  In my previous mock, I had the Patriots selecting Oklahoma receiver Sterling Shepard in the second round, but signing Chris Hogan and Nate Washington made drafting a receiver a depth priority, not an immediate need. The trade for former Bears' tight end Martellus Bennett also shifted the philosophy of the offense, and has me wondering how many receivers Belichick is likely to keep when all he's going to ever need is two or three on the field at any given time.

Bennett also superceded the need for the Patriots to take a tight end in the draft, blowing up my fourth round selection of Western Kentucky's Tyler Higbee, and perhaps one of my sixth-round picks, UCLA's wide receiver / tight end Thomas Duarte.

Belichick also ruined my third-round choice of interior linebacker Scooby Wright out of Arizona by signing another former Bear, linebacker Shea McClellin, a versatile former first-round draft pick who was moved around all over the second level in Chicago as they tried to find a place for him to fit in the scheme, but with Belichick he will find his niche, probably as the middle linebacker.

So my precious mock is a smoldering ruin thanks to Belichick's aggressiveness in free agency, as the priorities have changed.  Where before the need for a receiver, a tight end and interior linebacking - not to mention some solid depth along the offensive line - were paramount, Belichick addressed them all in a short, intense burst of free agent lunacy...

...leaving only the pressing needs for a bell-cow running back and a number two cornerback, both of which I have addressed in the second round of my latest mock draft:

2. Rashard Robinson, CB, LSU  
    6' 1", 171

Robinson's draft grade is all over the place, which is to be expected with as many red flags and character concerns he carries in his baggage - but there is no denying the kid's skill.

Multiple suspensions, including a permanent ban from the LSU football team and an arrest for illegal entry into a teammate's apartment overshadow Robinson's shut-down quality athleticism and intuition. Has not played organized ball since early in 2014 - and that, plus his spindly frame and aforementioned baggage lowered his 1st or 2nd round talent into the third day of the draft initially, but it's tough for evaluators to overlook his pure talent.

Had an impressive Freshman year where he locked onto the opposition's best receiver and pinned him against the sideline, taking some gambles though his makeup speed and explosion to the ball in the air are first class. In other words, he can put on an island and will likely survive anything an opposing quarterback can throw his way. Belichick has had some luck with troubled corners in the past, and they all seemed to fall in line with the Patriot Way. If this kid does the same, the sky over Gillette Stadium will become a no-fly zone.

2. Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana
    6'0", 230

The question for the Patriots is not whether they need a power back, rather, the question is what flavor do they need?

In Howard, they would get a one-speed, north-south downhill runner who would just rather lower his pads and cream the linebacker or defensive back, and avoid all of that ellusiveness crap, though he does possess some lateral agility and will cut to follow blocks, but he's no Barry Sanders. He understands angles, however, and will adjust his line so as to not allow the defender to line up a clean shot.

His pass protection needs some coaching up, which makes him a bit of a project in this offense, but there is no doubt that Howard is a bell-cow, capable of carrying a heavy workload.  However, if the Patriots prefer a back with a bit more shiftiness on the second level, they could go with Arkansas' power back Jonathan Williams.

3. Matt Judon, DE, Grand Valley State
    6' 3", 275

Don't let the small school label fool you, Judon possesses an NFL quality burst to rush the quarterback and the lateral agility and balance to set the edge in the running game. The one thing that he has going against him is the small school label.
Judon at Grand Valley

A bit of a project as far as refined technique is concerned, but Judon didn't need much refinement at Grand Valley State, where he simply ran over or around helpless offensive tackles, leading the nation in sacks last season with 20. Not just Division II football, but all of college football, regardless of level.

3. Keyarris Garrett, WR, Tulsa
    6' 3", 220

A classic long-strider and immediate deep threat, Garrett is an imposing physical mismatch for most corners and, most importantly perhaps, tracks the ball well and has shown a knack for adjusting routes to settle in under wayward throws.

He is lightning off the line and understands the leverage he possesses with his tremendous length and deep speed, which corners will have to respect, giving Garrett opportunities to work back towards the quarterback in the role of a possession-type receiver.  He's a good route runner, but played in primarily spread offenses, and often as the trailer in bunch formations, perhaps inflating his stats a bit.

But as former basketball coach Frank Layden used to say, you can't teach height and you can't coach speed, and this kid has both. He will fall to the third round primarily because of his level of competition in college will make for a major jump in class to the NFL, but also he has proven to be a bit fragile.
Garrett against Zack Sanchez


5. Willie Beavers, OT, Western Michigan (trade up)
    6' 5", 321

Carries a 5th to 6th round draft grade because of coming from a small school and because he is still raw in his technique - but there is no denying that Beavers has all the tools to become a solid left tackle in the NFL, with proper coaching and a little patience.

Mirrors speed rushers on the outside and physically manhandles them, pushing them around the pocket or simply stymieing them. His issue is moving to his right, where he will lose his balance against strong interior moves by the pass rushers. It is a technique issue, but one that will prevent him from coming in and becoming a force right away. He is excellent in the running game and could help a team as a swing tackle while perfecting his game.

Without a fourth or a fifth round selection, the Patriots would have to use their ridiculous number of sixth round draft picks to move up to snag Beavers - and I have them giving up three of the five to move up enough to do so.

6. Thomas Duarte, TE/WR, UCLA
    6' 2", 231

Is he a receiver or a tight end? On one hand, he has great size to be a receiver, but lacks the straight line speed expected over the top of the defense. On the other hand, his size is also appropriate for a move tight end, and frequently wins on crossing routes and up the seam, but is not as physical as you would want your tight end to be.

Reliable hands and being a touchdown maker are his calling card, but he is a bit soft on the takedown, as he will go down like a sack of potatoes with a solid hit from a corner or safety, and isn't much for dragging folks - generally, he catches the ball and looks for a place to sit down, but his separation ability and speed up the seam dictates that if he is in the clear, he will aim for the end zone.

6. Nick Kwiatkoski, ILB, West Virginia
    6' 2, 245

A former safety who made the transformation to inside linebacker, becoming all Big 12 in the process, Kwiatkoski is the type of player you want to have manning the middle zones in the big nickle, as his coverage skills are top notch for a linebacker and he lives to deliver a shot to the ball carrier or pass catcher crossing into his area.

Interestingly, he compares favorably to new Patriot Shea McClellin, which could provide dividends as the rookie could be taken on by the coaching staff and worked into the equation slowly, with McClellin's manic style serving as the template for what New England would expect him to be.

7. Antwione Williams, OLB, Georgia Southern
    6' 3", 247

Intimidating sideline to sideline hitter who lacks burst and straight line speed, but has learned to use attack angles to become a draftable linebacker. Stout and violent against the run with some edge-setting properties - may be a better interior gap-plugging linebacker at the pro level.

7. Devon Johnson, RB, Marshall
    6' 0", 238

Nicknamed "Rockhead" due to his no-nonsense, downhill running style, Johnson doesn't try to avoid contact with linebackers - rather, he takes pride in driving through their attempt to tackle him. Recruited to Marshall as a tight end, so he shows soft hands in the pattern, though he is not a threat to run away from defenders and has limited run-after-catch ability. Could be a convert to H-Back and would have some competition in camp to gain a roster spot.

"Pot Roast" Trims Fat, Inks Deal With Pats

Anyone who wants to know what potential impact nose tackle Terrance Knighton could have for the New England Patriots' defense need only go back to a fateful January evening in 2014 and watch what he did to the Patriots' offense in that season's AFC Championship game.

Knighton sacks New England's Tom Brady in the 2013 AFCCG
That night, the man known as "Pot Roast" man-handled New England's long-time, Pro Bowl left guard Logan Mankins - the impact of which netted him four tackles, two for a loss and one game-clinching sack of Brady on the stat sheet - but it isn't coincidence that Patriots' head ball coach Bill Belichick traded Mankins off to Tampa a few months later, then Mankins announced his retirement from football less than a year after that.

Now, Mankins was a tough dude - full of piss and vinegar, as it were, playing through ACL tears in his right knee before tearing the MCL in his left, keeping the injuries to himself until after the 2011 season. "I could still run," Mankins said in the next season's training camp. "If you can still run, there's no need to see a doctor."

"Just put a brace on, tape an aspirin to it, and go play."

Mankins was old-time tough, and carried as much respect as any player in the game, which made what Knighton did to him in that AFC title tilt all the more shocking.

And it wasn't just Mankins he abused either, as Knighton didn't bother shooting gaps to get into the Patriots' backfield, he simply shoved whoever was in front of him backwards until he and his Denver Broncos linemates had re-established the line scrimmage three yards deep in the New England backfield.

Did some of that have to do with the Patriots' being so injured in their receiving corps that they were trying to get by with retread Austin Collie and special teams captain Matthew Slater running routes? 

Sure, as it enabled the Broncos to concentrate on stacking the box to stop the run and to funnel the pass rush right into Brady's face, but that's beside the point. On that night, Knighton was the best football player on the field, and he shoved the Patriots' interior linemen around like school yard sissies. Probably put Bubble Yum in their hair for good measure.

That Terrance Knighton was a svelte 6' 3" and 330 pound disruptor with violent hands and an upfield push that could have made him one of the best interior defensive linemen in the league, but his inability (disinterest?) in keeping his weight in check wore thin on the Broncos the following season when he ballooned up to over 350 pounds, sapping his explosiveness off the snap.

After losing over 300k in weight related fines, the Broncos gave up on Knighton and allowed him to hit the open market last offseason, but he misjudged the market and priced himself out of many-a-team's budget - so many, in fact, that he ended up in Washington on a one-year fat boy deal, when even his long-time confidant and former coach Jack Del Rio steered clear of the woefully out of shape nose tackle.

The $4 million deal he got from the Redskins was all he could conjure after that, and even after Knighton put up solid numbers in Washington, the Redskins didn't seem interested in bringing him back. That is, until he took a visit with the Patriots. Reports out of Foxborough and from Knighton himself claimed that he had shed 30 pounds and is now back down to his college playing weight of 325 pounds.

If true, Pot Roast could be everything Washington thought they were getting last offseason, and he could be everything that helped the Broncos punk the Patriots offensive line back in 2014.

At his best, he eases the burden on a short rotation because he is versatile enough to stuff the run on early downs, and gets enough push on the pass rush to drive the interior linemen back into the pocket on passing downs, limiting a quarterback's ability to step into throws. At his worst, he is what Washington got last season, for which he still received positive grades for his ability to defend the run...

...which is exactly why New England paid him a whopping $4.5 million on a one-year "prove it" deal. Belichick's philosophy is to sign players to his team based on past performances, but he pays them according to what he sees as their potential - and Trader Bill had a front row seat when Knighton destroyed his offensive line.

And isn't it just like Belichick to sign a player who had given his teams a tough time in the past?